Weekly Update: 7th March 2025

This weekly update has a lot about Cyclone Alfred, but also the rest of the nation's weather, including where the rainfall remains of Alfred will go and when - and the potential for a southern rain system on the horizon.

We look at the Indian and Pacific Ocean's and show the Pacific outlook: neutral autumn and winter, potential El Nino heading into spring (and discuss how that takes the moisture away but we have other sources to offset); and the Indian outlook: neutral autumn, potential negative IOD developing later in winter (and discuss how this helps those in southern Australia looking for rain); plus the warm waters surrounding Australia, another source of moisture.

We also look at heat building over the next two weeks, and our whip around the country - with highlights on Brisbane and a spot right on the coast with the huge winds.

For the latest on Cyclone Alfred, keep up to date with this blog post: Cyclone Alfred - Friday March 7th.

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Watch the update:

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For the full rainfall outlook, you can always stay up to date on the Maps page. For the full seasonal outlook, you can stay up to date at Long Range. For the latest guidance specifically for your spot head to Forecast.

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In this series I'll take you through the drivers of our weather, highlighting any changes over time and things to watch out for (generally every Friday). It covers weather elements like temperature and rainfall, and how they are driven by moisture from the Pacific and Indian Oceans, as well as bursts of energy from low pressure (SAM and MJO).

See and hear my commentary as I take you through the weather pattern's effects on our rain and temperatures in detail over the next week, with a brief look at week 2 and beyond as well.

Plus what is driving our weather in the weeks and months ahead, with the latest on El Nino/La Nina, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode (SAM controls our weather systems), and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO connects tropical moisture to our weather systems).

I update this commentary each week, generally on Friday's. Make sure you are signed up (free or a subscription) so you don't miss an update.

Stay up to date with the forecast specifically for your area in our hour by hour outlook for the next 10 days. Download our app for iPhone and Android.

As always, you can see each of these graphics as soon as they update, as well as more information about them under our Rain Outlook and Seasonal Outlook pages within Jane's Update, along with our Snow Forecast in the snow season.