31st August: New features at Jane's Weather in August 2024 

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A widespread soaking rain system impacts Australia over the next week

Fed by moisture from the waters off northwest Australia and the Tasman Sea and a little from the waters off Queensland (as we will continue to see this summer)

Slow moving troughs turn this moisture into rain that gradually spreads through huge areas (see the day by day maps 

One system over the weekend into early next week, potentially joined by a second system that will keep the rain coming well into late next week

The drivers: MJO entering our neck of the woods, we're in a negative IOD (reflected in the warm water off the northwest), the Tasman Sea is incredibly warm, and the Pacific is weakly sending us moisture -> all adding up to lots of moisture for low pressure to turn into rain this summer

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See and hear my commentary as I take you through the weather pattern's effects on our rain and temperatures in detail over the next week, with a brief look at week 2 and beyond as well. 

Plus what is driving our weather in the weeks and months ahead, with the latest on El Nino/La Nina, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode (SAM controls our weather systems), and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO connects tropical moisture to our weather systems).

I update this commentary each week, generally on Friday's. Make sure you are 

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Stay up to date with the forecast specifically for your area in our 

hour by hour outlook for the next 10 days

As always, you can see each of these graphics as soon as they update, as well as more information about them under our 

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In this series I'll take you through the drivers of our weather, highlighting any changes over time and things to watch out for (generally every Friday). It covers weather elements like temperature and rainfall, and how they are driven by moisture from the Pacific and Indian Oceans, as well as bursts of energy from low pressure (SAM and MJO). 









Weekly Update: 22nd November 2024

We have cold fronts crossing the southeast, but they won't have much impact over the weekend away from southwest TAS

An active trough over southeast QLD and northeast NSW is fed by a huge amount of tropical moisture coming in from the northwest. This will be very active at times over the next week with falls of 50-100mm likely (see the rain map for daily and weekly projections)

That pushes activity into the southwest today, before the next lengthy dry break. Temperatures increase later next week, ahead of the next weather system

Weekly Update: 8th November 2024

See why falls are light over the south - our lack of connection to the tropics, hindered by the MJO - and when this is likely to reconnect

Wet season activity has returned to our tropics - and southeast Queensland and northeast NSW have bursts of showers and severe storms - see the days of increased activity

The southeast will be on a temperature roller coaster - see the latest guidance on when we peak and when temperatures plummet

There has been a change to one of the models forecasting La Nina, and the index is getting closer to the threshold.