 using key indicators and forecasts to tell us if it is more likely to be 

In order for it to rain, we need two things: a 

 (from the Pacific or Indian Ocean), and 

 to turn that moisture into rain. If they can meet up, in the right spot, then we get the rain.

 water in the boxes pushes tropical moisture 

 water around the top half of Australia helps push tropical moisture 

The wiggly pattern in the Pacific box indicates that tropical moisture is being sent towards Australia. But this is just one part of the equation. We need low pressure to turn that into rain.

The Indian Ocean has a warm box, but the water near Australia is also warmer than average, so that sends moist air here too (but not as much as the Pacific with its huge differences from near Australia to out in the box). 

The temperature of the Pacific Ocean box, and forecasts for a range of models over the next six months.

 area, the Pacific Ocean should push tropical moisture 

We've been bouncing around just on the cusp of La Nina since early November. All models indicate it should be in La Nina through January and most of February, our "La Nina summer". 

So, that means the Pacific Ocean will continue to push moist air towards us.

But it's just one part of the equation - the moisture part - we need low pressure to turn that into rain.

The temperature of the Indian Ocean, and forecasts for a range of models over the next six months.

 area, the Indian Ocean should push tropical moisture 

 Australia (known as a negative Indian Ocean Dipole [IOD]).

 from Australia (known as a positive Indian Ocean Dipole [IOD]).

Winter and Spring were in a negative IOD, pushing moist air from the Indian Ocean down across Australia. Whenever a low moved through, that brought higher than usual amounts of rain. 

Summer is neutral. Neither wetter or drier. But the Sea Temp image showed us that there is warmer than average water off Australia's northwest. That will act to push further moisture towards us, just not as much as if we were in a negative IOD. 

The outlook shows neutral for Autumn, and unclear for Winter.

 encourages lows and troughs over inland parts, and weaker cold fronts.

   High pressure can 'get in the way' no matter what the signal is.

   Cold fronts only hit one area. If a strong front hits Perth, it won't do much for Melbourne... if a strong front hits Melbourne, it missed Perth.

   Inland troughs, and lows, are the ones that produce the big wet weather. But you have to be 

on or east of the trough line to get the rain

We have been in a generally positive SAM for a while. When high pressure doesn't get "in the way" then lows and troughs bring rain and thunderstorms, sometimes with heavy falls.

The forecast is to remain neutral to positive.

Weird graph, but bear with me! This shows the path of a pulse of tropical energy that helps push that tropcial moisture around.

We are in a La Nina summer.   
That encourages rain in eastern and northern Australia.
But... it doesn't rain all the time, as there are other indices that work together to drive our day to day weather.
Here's the latest on what they are all doing.   

The latest on La Nina/El Nino, IOD, SAM and MJO - all things that drive our weather

We are very excited to launch the first tiny part of Jane's Weather to all those kind enough to sign up for a Founding Membership. 

Let me take you through what you can do on the site so far! And a taste of what will be launching soon.

When you sign up, and pay for the membership, it takes you to your account settings page. 

Here you can fill in the words you would like on your thank you plaque. When we launch to the public, this will be included on a page that shows all of our wonderful Founding Members. You can add your name and a message, or your business and a website. 

Tell us a bit about yourself! This way when we release special new features just for dairy farmers, or skiers, or agronomists, or those pouring concrete - you'll be one of the first to get to try it out.

The all important Support button. Let us know if you are having any troubles, or if you have a suggestion.

You can add up to ten different locations specially for you. The forecast graph will show the data for that specific location, and when maps launch soon, you will be front and centre. Keep this list up to date as it powers your alerts too.

Select the location you wish to see the forecast for in the top left (your favourite location is automatically selected).

 of the day's highs and lows, and how much rain or snow is possible in total for the day.

 shows you temperature as it moves through time, along with an icon. If there is rain or snow possible, it is shown in a bar. The wind direction is shown, along with the speed (the average over time), and the gust (the peak wind/the strongest it gets).

. No calculations needed here, we show you if conditions are Good, Marginal or Poor in our colour coding. Soon you will be able to set an alert to show you times when Spraying is rated "good" to help plan your week.

. Humid shows that there is enough moisture in the air to keep you feeling warm. Comfortable or Dry indicates that it'll feel cooler than the temperature shows, the wind has a chill. So, it dew point remains humid through the evening, I'd certainly leave the jacket at home!

 forecast. Low cloud may block the sunset, while high cloud often brings excellent colour. 

 for several hours. That indicates that thunderstorms are a risk for much of the time. This doesn't mean that it will continuously storm for that entire time, rather there is a risk of storms at each of those times. The rainfall can indicate when they are most likely, and if they could bring heavy rain. Thunderstorms are always the 'potential for storms', they are never a guarantee that they will occur. They show risk, not specifics.

 takes you through maps of potential rainfall across the country. Until we launch 

 maps, this is a good summary of all the weather models, to indicate what rain is possible day by day. Soon we will have each model's maps showing rain/cloud/temperature etc hour by hour, centred on your spot.

 takes you through a selection of indicators that drive our weather in the weeks and seasons ahead. Week two's rainfall is in there, a handy heads up for the time period 

 the day to day weather models stop, as well as the next two month's outlook. This follows what is happening in the Pacific Ocean, the Indian Ocean, SAM (our cold fronts, lows and troughs) and MJO (tropical moisture to 

 will resume in the ski season. Until then, check this for guides on how to use our latest features.

: instructions on how to show Jane the weather in your area. They could be shown on 7NEWS tonight.

: let us know what works and what doesn't, and what features you would like to see next. 

Out of snow season, I'll use this space to show you all the new things you can see on this site. 
Under 'Forecast' we have two weather models, showing you hour by hour details for your selected location. 
Under 'Jane's Weather' Jane takes you through what rain is likely to fall in the next week, as well as the long range indicators you need to know about.
Under 'User Settings' you can set Locations specifically for your needs.

New features at Jane's Weather

The current blend of all the weather models as to how much rain 

. By nature they are hit and miss.. ie the potential for rain is there, but 

. The next town/suburb could have a heavy downpour with a storm right overhead, while you miss out or just get the edge of that storm. Or you could have the heavy downpour, potentially even heavier than this image indicates.

 The rain forecast shows the area they are possible, and how much they could bring, not every spot that will get the storms.

But... it also shows us the potential for 

. These are different.. they are widespread (not hit and miss). The totals may not be as impressive as the intense rain in showers and storms, but more of the area gets a drink.

See the model output for any location, hour by hour, from our currently available models:

Here is the day by day guidance. An average of all the weather models:

Jane takes you through what rainfall is possible each day across the country. Daily details for the next few days, then a general look at what rain is possible after that.  