Weekly Update: 11th April 2025

Published on
April 11, 2025
Jane's Update
In this series I'll take you through the drivers of our weather, highlighting any changes over time and things to watch out for (generally every Friday).It covers weather elements like temperature and rainfall, and how they are driven by moisture from the Pacific and Indian Oceans, as well as bursts of energy from low pressure (SAM and MJO).

This week's update focuses in detail on the next two weeks of weather - and what we know about the months ahead - very important if you are dry sowing and working out what you are going to do this year.

The southwest of the country gets the rain focus for the rest of April.

High pressure continues to block rain systems from moving into the southeast.

Weekly rainfall potential over the next two weeks from the ECMWF extended range model

We have plenty of moisture to play with, and the Indian Ocean may enhance that moisture further as the season progresses.

The question is - the thing that we don't know - is will the weather systems be able to target the areas that need it most.

The Euro model shows there is hope on the horizon:

Monthly rainfall potential from May to October 2025 from the ECMWF seasonal model

Don't miss the full video that goes through each of our climate drivers in detail:

In this series I'll take you through the drivers of our weather, highlighting any changes over time and things to watch out for (generally every Friday). It covers weather elements like temperature and rainfall, and how they are driven by moisture from the Pacific and Indian Oceans, as well as bursts of energy from low pressure (SAM and MJO).

See and hear my commentary as I take you through the weather pattern's effects on our rain and temperatures in detail over the next week, with a brief look at week 2 and beyond as well.

Plus what is driving our weather in the weeks and months ahead, with the latest on El Nino/La Nina, the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD), the Southern Annular Mode (SAM controls our weather systems), and the Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO connects tropical moisture to our weather systems).

I update this commentary each week, generally on Friday's. Make sure you are signed up (free or a subscription) so you don't miss an update.

Stay up to date with the forecast specifically for your area in our hour by hour outlook for the next 10 days. Download our app for iPhone and Android.

As always, you can see each of these graphics as soon as they update, as well as more information about them under our Rain Outlook and Seasonal Outlook pages within Jane's Update, along with our Snow Forecast in the snow season.

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